Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — McMichael shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs McMichael 48.3% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 51.3%
Defensive zone
Horvat 56.7%
Neutral zone
McMichael 52.6%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Horvat
McMichael
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Horvat
McMichael
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
McMichael
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
0
1
Horvat
McMichael
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
McMichael
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
43.7% (71)
+14.9%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
52.4% (21)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
52.9% (17)
-7.2%
On even strength, Horvat has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McMichael shoots left. Horvat is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Horvat shoots left. McMichael is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (70).
Home / Away
Horvat
McMichael
Home
59.2% (684)
42.6% (54)
Away
57.0% (635)
50.9% (55)
By Period
Horvat
McMichael
P1
57.9%
42.9%
P2
55.4%
40.5%
P3
61.5%
57.1%
OT
53.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
58.2%
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 09:57 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 09:13 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |