Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gauthier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Gauthier 49.3% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gauthier 53.9%
Defensive zone
Horvat 83.2%
Neutral zone
Horvat 57.9%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Horvat
Gauthier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Horvat
Gauthier
Last 5: Horvat 3-2 Gauthier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gauthier
0
1
Horvat
Gauthier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Gauthier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Gauthier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Gauthier
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (682)
45.5% (110)
+9.8%
Power Play
62.2% (230)
53.2% (79)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (101)
66.7% (3)
-20.2%
On penalty kill, Gauthier has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gauthier shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Horvat shoots left. Gauthier is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Horvat
Gauthier
Home
58.2% (469)
53.1% (98)
Away
54.0% (544)
44.7% (94)
By Period
Horvat
Gauthier
P1
59.6%
43.4%
P2
53.1%
54.2%
P3
55.5%
50.0%
OT
55.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
59.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.0%
Gauthier
44.0%▼
49.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 00:16 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:09 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 03:08 | Neutral | Cutter Gauthier |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 02:56 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:31 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |