Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gauthier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Gauthier 47.3% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gauthier 52.8%
Defensive zone
Horvat 90.6%
Neutral zone
Horvat 59.1%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Horvat
Gauthier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Horvat
Gauthier
Last 5: Horvat 3-2 Gauthier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gauthier
0
1
Horvat
Gauthier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Gauthier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Gauthier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Gauthier
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,606)
44.2% (156)
+9.7%
Power Play
61.0% (2,699)
49.4% (89)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,494)
50.0% (4)
-2.9%
On power play, Horvat has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gauthier shoots left. Horvat is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,714).
Horvat shoots left. Gauthier is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (156).
Home / Away
Horvat
Gauthier
Home
56.0% (8,355)
53.3% (120)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
39.5% (129)
By Period
Horvat
Gauthier
P1
54.1%
44.1%
P2
54.4%
47.4%
P3
55.0%
46.6%
OT
49.6%
60.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
Gauthier
44.0%▼
49.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 00:16 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:09 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 03:08 | Neutral | Cutter Gauthier |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 02:56 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:31 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |