Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Mercer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Mercer 46.3% (+9.0%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 50.1%
Defensive zone
Horvat 57.6%
Neutral zone
Horvat 50.7%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Horvat
Mercer
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
43.6% (241)
+9.9%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
50.0% (14)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
70.0% (10)
-18.7%
On penalty kill, Mercer has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Horvat is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Horvat shoots left. Mercer is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Home / Away
Horvat
Mercer
Home
54.2% (714)
41.7% (120)
Away
53.6% (705)
47.6% (145)
By Period
Horvat
Mercer
P1
53.5%
44.6%
P2
56.3%
45.4%
P3
53.5%
45.2%
OT
28.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
44.9%