Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +15.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Horvat wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Mercer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Mercer 40.0% (+15.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 87.9%
Defensive zone
Horvat 96.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 91.2%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 94.9%
94.9%
5.1%
Horvat
Mercer
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Horvat
Mercer
Last 7: Horvat 6-1 Mercer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
0
1
Horvat
Mercer
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
0
Horvat
Mercer
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,417)
39.1% (1,403)
+14.8%
Power Play
61.1% (2,637)
41.3% (80)
+19.8%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (1,476)
40.9% (44)
+6.1%
On power play, Horvat has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Horvat is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (5,956).
Horvat shoots left. Mercer is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,085).
Home / Away
Horvat
Mercer
Home
56.0% (8,277)
40.0% (737)
Away
52.9% (8,254)
38.6% (790)
By Period
Horvat
Mercer
P1
54.1%
38.0%
P2
54.4%
39.3%
P3
54.9%
41.3%
OT
50.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
42.0%▼
53.5%
54.4%
Mercer
34.0%▼
37.5%
39.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 15:42 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 09:42 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 08:40 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 1 | 16:34 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 1 | 12:52 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 15:47 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 2 | 12:27 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |