Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 50.4% vs Stepan 47.2% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 55.2%
Defensive zone
Horvat 76.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 69.7%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Horvat
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Horvat
Stepan
Last 7: Horvat 5-2 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Stepan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Stepan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Horvat
Stepan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (1,163)
48.2% (1,155)
+1.8%
Power Play
60.5% (157)
48.2% (193)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (178)
37.9% (174)
+7.0%
On power play, Horvat has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Horvat is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (518).
Horvat shoots left. Stepan is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,064).
Home / Away
Horvat
Stepan
Home
52.0% (767)
46.4% (774)
Away
48.8% (731)
47.7% (748)
By Period
Horvat
Stepan
P1
47.1%
46.7%
P2
49.4%
46.3%
P3
54.3%
48.1%
OT
57.9%
47.6%
Final 5 min
49.3%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
50.5%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2016 | 3 | 02:31 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 11:23 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 2 | 16:56 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 2 | 07:53 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 2 | 07:45 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 2 | 07:20 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 1 | 14:39 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |