Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 62.2% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Stepan 53.4% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 51.3%
Defensive zone
Stepan 59.0%
Neutral zone
Stepan 58.6%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Horvat
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Horvat
Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Stepan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
2
Horvat
Stepan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
55.3% (358)
-0.6%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
0.0% (3)
+67.0%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
50.8% (61)
+1.3%
On power play, Horvat has a +67.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Horvat is 62.2% vs right-shot opponents (574).
Horvat shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Horvat
Stepan
Home
59.8% (853)
57.7% (213)
Away
53.8% (832)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Horvat
Stepan
P1
55.0%
56.3%
P2
58.3%
48.9%
P3
57.8%
57.1%
Final 5 min
59.4%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2023 | 3 | 07:18 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 18:00 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 01:45 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 11:44 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |