Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 39 meetings). Horvat wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Stepan 46.6% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 55-37 in 92 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 82.0%
Defensive zone
Horvat 86.0%
Neutral zone
Horvat 85.9%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 84.3%
84.3%
15.7%
Horvat
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
55
-
37
(92 meetings)
55
37
Horvat
Stepan
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
29
10
Horvat
Stepan
39 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
10
18
Horvat
Stepan
28 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
16
9
Horvat
Stepan
25 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,606)
46.5% (10,204)
+7.4%
Power Play
61.0% (2,699)
48.8% (1,593)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,494)
44.2% (1,368)
+2.9%
On power play, Horvat has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Horvat is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,086).
Horvat shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Home / Away
Horvat
Stepan
Home
56.0% (8,355)
47.6% (6,608)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
45.5% (6,573)
By Period
Horvat
Stepan
P1
54.1%
47.5%
P2
54.4%
45.6%
P3
55.0%
46.8%
OT
49.6%
40.7%
Final 5 min
55.2%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2023 | 3 | 07:18 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 18:00 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 01:45 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 11:44 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 3 | 15:45 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 2 | 19:49 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 2 | 11:58 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 2 | 03:20 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 1 | 12:03 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 3 | 19:18 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 3 | 03:05 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 2 | 17:26 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 2 | 16:12 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 2 | 02:57 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 1 | 15:43 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 1 | 11:41 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 1 | 07:27 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 12:57 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 13:09 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 10:31 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |