Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Horvat wins 61.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.9% vs Stepan 47.7% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 87.0%
Defensive zone
Horvat 65.0%
Neutral zone
Horvat 86.8%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 81.0%
81.0%
19.0%
Horvat
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Horvat
Stepan
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
1
Horvat
Stepan
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
2
Horvat
Stepan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Stepan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,134)
47.3% (877)
+9.0%
Power Play
64.3% (263)
54.4% (103)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (85)
45.2% (217)
+4.2%
On power play, Horvat has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Horvat is 61.1% vs right-shot opponents (537).
Horvat shoots left. Stepan is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Home / Away
Horvat
Stepan
Home
57.3% (742)
50.4% (560)
Away
57.4% (741)
45.1% (637)
By Period
Horvat
Stepan
P1
59.0%
47.4%
P2
59.7%
47.0%
P3
53.6%
48.1%
OT
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.3%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.3%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2020 | 3 | 19:18 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 3 | 03:05 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 2 | 17:26 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 2 | 16:12 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 2 | 02:57 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 1 | 15:43 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 1 | 11:41 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 1 | 07:27 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 12:57 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 13:09 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 10:31 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |