Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 50.0%). Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 50.4% vs Brassard 50.0% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 51.6%
Defensive zone
Horvat 67.5%
Neutral zone
Horvat 63.2%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Horvat
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Horvat
Brassard
Last 6: Horvat 5-1 Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Brassard
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
1
Horvat
Brassard
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (1,163)
49.7% (1,057)
+0.3%
Power Play
60.5% (157)
52.3% (155)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (178)
46.2% (13)
-1.3%
On power play, Horvat has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Horvat is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (980).
Horvat shoots left. Brassard is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (827).
Home / Away
Horvat
Brassard
Home
52.0% (767)
53.7% (616)
Away
48.8% (731)
46.1% (609)
By Period
Horvat
Brassard
P1
47.1%
47.2%
P2
49.4%
50.9%
P3
54.3%
51.5%
OT
57.9%
70.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
50.5%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 15:39 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 2 | 17:34 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 3 | 10:55 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 3 | 04:27 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 1 | 17:39 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 1 | 12:22 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |