Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Brassard shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Brassard 50.9% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 56.7%
Defensive zone
Brassard 51.6%
Neutral zone
Brassard 53.2%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Horvat
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Horvat
Brassard
Last 6: Horvat 3-3 Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
2
Horvat
Brassard
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Brassard
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Brassard
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
50.9% (287)
+4.7%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
53.8% (39)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
50.0% (4)
-0.8%
On power play, Horvat has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Horvat is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (912).
Horvat shoots left. Brassard is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Horvat
Brassard
Home
58.8% (724)
52.1% (211)
Away
55.3% (751)
49.6% (119)
By Period
Horvat
Brassard
P1
57.0%
47.3%
P2
57.5%
56.6%
P3
57.0%
47.8%
OT
36.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 15:03 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 13:43 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 1 | 14:38 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 1 | 05:52 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 15, 2021 | 3 | 17:43 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 15, 2021 | 2 | 12:01 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |