Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Brassard shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Brassard 50.0% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 65.0%
Defensive zone
Brassard 72.6%
Neutral zone
Brassard 70.8%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 69.1%
30.9%
69.1%
Horvat
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Horvat
Brassard
Last 7: Horvat 2-5 Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
0
3
Horvat
Brassard
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Brassard
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
0
1
Horvat
Brassard
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
49.6% (230)
+5.1%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
53.8% (26)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
50.0% (30)
+2.1%
On power play, Horvat has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Horvat shoots left. Brassard is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (167).
Home / Away
Horvat
Brassard
Home
59.8% (853)
51.7% (143)
Away
53.8% (832)
48.3% (143)
By Period
Horvat
Brassard
P1
55.0%
46.4%
P2
58.3%
50.6%
P3
57.8%
53.9%
Final 5 min
59.4%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 14:59 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 3 | 10:44 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 14:21 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 10:36 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 04:57 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 07:28 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 1 | 04:22 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |