Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.0% vs 57.0%). Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Horvat wins 61.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Carter 56.4% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 70.5%
Defensive zone
Carter 53.8%
Neutral zone
Horvat 53.5%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Horvat
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Horvat
Carter
Last 10: Horvat 3-7 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
2
Horvat
Carter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
4
Horvat
Carter
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Horvat
Carter
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
57.9% (885)
-2.3%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
61.7% (133)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
45.4% (119)
+3.8%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Horvat is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (563).
Horvat shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Horvat
Carter
Home
58.8% (724)
58.2% (543)
Away
55.3% (751)
55.9% (594)
By Period
Horvat
Carter
P1
57.0%
57.5%
P2
57.5%
57.1%
P3
57.0%
55.8%
OT
36.4%
68.2%
Final 5 min
56.9%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 17:05 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 10:23 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 09:43 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 09:32 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 11:11 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 04:16 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 17:34 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 14:52 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 11:44 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 13:59 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 07:11 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |