Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Horvat wins 62.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Carter 58.5% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 85.4%
Defensive zone
Carter 59.7%
Neutral zone
Horvat 60.7%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Horvat
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
14
(23 meetings)
9
14
Horvat
Carter
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
5
Horvat
Carter
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
8
Horvat
Carter
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Carter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
59.7% (727)
-5.0%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
68.1% (72)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
53.2% (139)
-1.1%
On even strength, Carter has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Horvat is 62.2% vs right-shot opponents (574).
Horvat shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Home / Away
Horvat
Carter
Home
59.8% (853)
58.7% (455)
Away
53.8% (832)
60.0% (483)
By Period
Horvat
Carter
P1
55.0%
61.3%
P2
58.3%
57.1%
P3
57.8%
59.8%
OT
44.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
59.4%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 10:19 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 16:51 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 3 | 10:52 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 3 | 06:57 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 18:26 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 03:54 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 1 | 18:22 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 1 | 11:52 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 1 | 02:38 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 3 | 04:58 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 3 | 04:05 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 2 | 18:57 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 17, 2023 | 1 | 17:00 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 18:48 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 14:30 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 14:22 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 15:32 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 06:15 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 17:30 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |