Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Stenlund 54.3% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 84.2%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 73.3%
Neutral zone
Horvat 59.9%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Horvat
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Horvat
Stenlund
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
0
Horvat
Stenlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
4
Horvat
Stenlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Stenlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (682)
56.1% (615)
-0.8%
Power Play
62.2% (230)
53.2% (47)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (101)
52.1% (307)
-5.6%
On power play, Horvat has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Horvat is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (413).
Horvat shoots left. Stenlund is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Horvat
Stenlund
Home
58.2% (469)
57.0% (458)
Away
54.0% (544)
52.6% (511)
By Period
Horvat
Stenlund
P1
59.6%
55.1%
P2
53.1%
53.3%
P3
55.5%
56.4%
OT
55.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
59.6%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.0%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 18:02 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 17:26 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 09:17 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 14, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 3 | 08:40 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 2 | 11:53 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 2 | 10:19 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 2 | 05:41 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 1 | 14:18 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 1 | 06:59 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |