Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (58.2% vs 59.1%). Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Horvat wins 61.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs Stenlund 58.3% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 80.6%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 77.3%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 57.2%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Horvat
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Horvat
Stenlund
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
7
0
Horvat
Stenlund
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
6
Horvat
Stenlund
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
58.6% (797)
+0.0%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
62.5% (24)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
60.5% (233)
-14.8%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Horvat is 61.6% vs right-shot opponents (482).
Horvat shoots left. Stenlund is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Home / Away
Horvat
Stenlund
Home
59.2% (684)
58.6% (548)
Away
57.0% (635)
59.7% (506)
By Period
Horvat
Stenlund
P1
57.9%
60.2%
P2
55.4%
59.1%
P3
61.5%
58.3%
OT
53.8%
58.6%
Final 5 min
60.9%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
58.2%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:49 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 18:39 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 09:03 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 05:26 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 15:00 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 09:22 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 04:42 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 14:41 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 08:39 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 16:44 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 15:10 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 10:14 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 00:13 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |