Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Stenlund 51.2% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 88.3%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 65.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 59.8%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 69.0%
69.0%
31.0%
Horvat
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Horvat
Stenlund
Last 7: Horvat 6-1 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
0
Horvat
Stenlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Stenlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Stenlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
54.4% (592)
-0.9%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
42.9% (14)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
44.1% (229)
+7.2%
On power play, Horvat has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Horvat is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Horvat shoots left. Stenlund is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Home / Away
Horvat
Stenlund
Home
54.2% (714)
50.7% (402)
Away
53.6% (705)
52.0% (433)
By Period
Horvat
Stenlund
P1
53.5%
56.5%
P2
56.3%
52.4%
P3
53.5%
45.2%
OT
28.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 16:58 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 02:33 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 10:03 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 00:34 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 12:43 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 14:54 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 12:29 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |