Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Necas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 62.2% vs right-shot opponents — Necas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Necas 46.0% (+11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Necas 82.2%
Defensive zone
Necas 73.5%
Neutral zone
Necas 74.2%
Result
Martin Necas favored at 77.0%
23.0%
77.0%
Horvat
Necas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Horvat
Necas
Last 8: Horvat 2-6 Necas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Necas
1
2
Horvat
Necas
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Necas
0
3
Horvat
Necas
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Necas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Necas
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
44.5% (339)
+10.2%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
47.4% (57)
+19.6%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
47.6% (21)
+4.5%
On power play, Horvat has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Necas shoots right. Horvat is 62.2% vs right-shot opponents (574).
Horvat shoots left. Necas is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
Horvat
Necas
Home
59.8% (853)
44.8% (203)
Away
53.8% (832)
45.3% (214)
By Period
Horvat
Necas
P1
55.0%
46.8%
P2
58.3%
40.0%
P3
57.8%
50.0%
OT
44.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
59.4%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 04:47 | Defensive | Martin Necas |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 04:37 | Defensive | Martin Necas |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 19:01 | Defensive | Martin Necas |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 05:02 | Offensive | Martin Necas |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 15:50 | Neutral | Martin Necas |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 03:16 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 00:13 | Offensive | Martin Necas |