Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +19.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Necas on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Necas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Necas 40.8% (+19.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 76.4%
Defensive zone
Horvat 74.6%
Neutral zone
Horvat 67.6%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
Horvat
Necas
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Horvat
Necas
Last 5: Horvat 3-2 Necas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Necas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Necas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Necas
1
2
Horvat
Necas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Necas
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
33.6% (134)
+19.9%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
50.0% (2)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
50.0% (2)
+1.3%
On even strength, Horvat has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Necas shoots right. Horvat is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Horvat shoots left. Necas is 32.4% vs left-shot opponents (108).
Home / Away
Horvat
Necas
Home
54.2% (714)
28.2% (71)
Away
53.6% (705)
40.3% (67)
By Period
Horvat
Necas
P1
53.5%
33.9%
P2
56.3%
36.4%
P3
53.5%
31.6%
Final 5 min
52.3%
22.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
34.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 12:48 | Neutral | Martin Necas |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 04:41 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 16:46 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 19:30 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 01:36 | Neutral | Martin Necas |