Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 16 meetings). Horvat wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs McLeod 58.0% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 16-15 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 82.5%
Defensive zone
McLeod 77.1%
Neutral zone
McLeod 51.7%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Horvat
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
16
(31 meetings)
15
16
Horvat
McLeod
Last 10: Horvat 2-8 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
9
0
Horvat
McLeod
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
3
13
Horvat
McLeod
16 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Horvat
McLeod
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,606)
59.2% (2,894)
-5.3%
Power Play
61.0% (2,699)
57.4% (101)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,494)
53.5% (525)
-6.4%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Horvat is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,086).
Horvat shoots left. McLeod is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,457).
Home / Away
Horvat
McLeod
Home
56.0% (8,355)
58.2% (1,647)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
58.4% (1,873)
By Period
Horvat
McLeod
P1
54.1%
58.7%
P2
54.4%
59.9%
P3
55.0%
56.3%
OT
49.6%
63.6%
Final 5 min
55.2%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 13:48 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 11:10 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 15:19 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 08:17 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 3 | 07:03 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 2 | 16:33 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 2 | 11:25 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 2 | 11:17 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 2 | 06:10 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 1 | 03:37 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 18:58 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 12:56 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 02:49 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 2 | 04:47 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 13:30 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 11:28 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 17:24 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 09:05 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 14:27 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 07:18 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |