Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.0% vs 57.3%). Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Horvat wins 61.3% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs McLeod 56.6% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 80.7%
Defensive zone
McLeod 76.4%
Neutral zone
McLeod 54.5%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Horvat
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Horvat
McLeod
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
0
Horvat
McLeod
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
6
Horvat
McLeod
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
58.3% (859)
-2.7%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
50.0% (28)
+15.4%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
53.0% (168)
-3.8%
On power play, Horvat has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Horvat is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (563).
Horvat shoots left. McLeod is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (778).
Home / Away
Horvat
McLeod
Home
58.8% (724)
55.3% (526)
Away
55.3% (751)
59.2% (529)
By Period
Horvat
McLeod
P1
57.0%
60.7%
P2
57.5%
55.9%
P3
57.0%
55.2%
OT
36.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.9%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 09:05 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 14:27 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 07:18 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 18:57 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 10:59 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 01:22 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 3 | 07:07 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 2 | 15:55 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 2 | 06:19 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 2 | 01:01 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 2 | 00:54 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 1 | 17:44 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 1 | 10:42 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |