Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 62.2% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs McLeod 59.6% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 64.2%
Defensive zone
McLeod 85.9%
Neutral zone
McLeod 76.3%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Horvat
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Horvat
McLeod
Last 7: Horvat 5-2 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Horvat
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
61.5% (792)
-6.8%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
65.2% (23)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
55.6% (153)
-3.5%
On even strength, McLeod has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Horvat is 62.2% vs right-shot opponents (574).
Horvat shoots left. McLeod is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (720).
Home / Away
Horvat
McLeod
Home
59.8% (853)
62.0% (460)
Away
53.8% (832)
59.4% (508)
By Period
Horvat
McLeod
P1
55.0%
61.5%
P2
58.3%
63.6%
P3
57.8%
56.2%
OT
44.0%
73.3%
Final 5 min
59.4%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 18:58 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 12:56 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 02:49 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 2 | 04:47 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 13:30 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 11:28 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 17:24 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |