Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Geekie on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 61.3% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Geekie 52.1% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 67.2%
Defensive zone
Geekie 61.2%
Neutral zone
Geekie 59.9%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 64.3%
35.7%
64.3%
Horvat
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Horvat
Geekie
Last 5: Horvat 2-3 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
1
2
Horvat
Geekie
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Geekie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
53.2% (615)
+2.4%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
44.4% (36)
+21.0%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
44.4% (18)
+4.8%
On power play, Horvat has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Horvat is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (563).
Horvat shoots left. Geekie is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Horvat
Geekie
Home
58.8% (724)
55.0% (331)
Away
55.3% (751)
50.0% (338)
By Period
Horvat
Geekie
P1
57.0%
53.9%
P2
57.5%
56.0%
P3
57.0%
46.5%
OT
36.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2022 | 3 | 12:57 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 3 | 12:45 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 2 | 16:41 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 1 | 12:07 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 10:43 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |