Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Geekie 47.6% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 70.4%
Defensive zone
Horvat 90.7%
Neutral zone
Horvat 79.9%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 86.7%
86.7%
13.3%
Horvat
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Horvat
Geekie
Last 5: Horvat 4-1 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
1
Horvat
Geekie
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
0
Horvat
Geekie
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (682)
47.0% (117)
+8.3%
Power Play
62.2% (230)
47.1% (34)
+15.1%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (101)
0.0% (3)
+46.5%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +46.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Horvat is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (413).
Horvat shoots left. Geekie is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (95).
Home / Away
Horvat
Geekie
Home
58.2% (469)
45.3% (75)
Away
54.0% (544)
46.8% (79)
By Period
Horvat
Geekie
P1
59.6%
43.1%
P2
53.1%
48.1%
P3
55.5%
47.5%
OT
55.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.6%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.0%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 14:41 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 13:29 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 16:58 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 06:45 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 15:33 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |