Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Horvat wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Bonino 51.2% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 86.9%
Defensive zone
Horvat 60.5%
Neutral zone
Horvat 64.4%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Horvat
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Horvat
Bonino
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
2
Horvat
Bonino
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
1
Horvat
Bonino
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
51.7% (777)
+3.9%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
60.0% (50)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
43.9% (98)
+5.3%
On power play, Horvat has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Horvat is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (912).
Horvat shoots left. Bonino is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Home / Away
Horvat
Bonino
Home
58.8% (724)
48.2% (461)
Away
55.3% (751)
54.5% (464)
By Period
Horvat
Bonino
P1
57.0%
54.1%
P2
57.5%
49.7%
P3
57.0%
50.7%
OT
36.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 11:22 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 10:10 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 18:26 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 16:59 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 16:55 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 13:36 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 14:44 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 17:40 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 14:03 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 10:58 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 1 | 02:31 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 1 | 00:21 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |