Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Bonino 48.5% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 94.1%
Defensive zone
Horvat 68.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 82.5%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 86.2%
86.2%
13.8%
Horvat
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
5
(16 meetings)
11
5
Horvat
Bonino
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
8
2
Horvat
Bonino
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
1
Horvat
Bonino
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
2
Horvat
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
48.1% (324)
+6.6%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
57.9% (38)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
44.3% (88)
+7.8%
On power play, Horvat has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Horvat shoots left. Bonino is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Horvat
Bonino
Home
59.8% (853)
52.0% (244)
Away
53.8% (832)
43.7% (206)
By Period
Horvat
Bonino
P1
55.0%
48.0%
P2
58.3%
42.9%
P3
57.8%
53.9%
OT
44.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
59.4%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 10:45 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 09:47 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 03:39 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 03:42 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 13:02 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 04:44 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 3 | 12:04 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 3 | 05:09 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 3 | 02:45 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 17:36 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 09:43 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 1 | 10:12 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 3 | 04:32 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 2 | 11:43 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 1 | 19:58 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |