Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 50.8% vs Backstrom 48.7% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 59.2%
Defensive zone
Horvat 81.5%
Neutral zone
Horvat 73.9%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 71.1%
71.1%
28.9%
Horvat
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Horvat
Backstrom
Last 5: Horvat 5-0 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Backstrom
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Backstrom
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Backstrom
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,079)
47.9% (1,097)
+4.8%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
55.7% (149)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (279)
45.0% (111)
-5.2%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Horvat is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (932).
Horvat shoots left. Backstrom is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Home / Away
Horvat
Backstrom
Home
53.1% (723)
51.1% (638)
Away
48.8% (770)
46.3% (719)
By Period
Horvat
Backstrom
P1
51.1%
44.8%
P2
52.6%
51.1%
P3
48.8%
49.4%
OT
57.6%
55.6%
Final 5 min
50.5%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
50.9%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2016 | 3 | 14:29 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 3 | 19:16 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 3 | 15:05 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 3 | 13:21 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 1 | 19:24 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |