Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Backstrom 50.3% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 52.5%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 51.8%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 62.0%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Horvat
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Horvat
Backstrom
Last 8: Horvat 4-4 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
2
Horvat
Backstrom
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
1
Horvat
Backstrom
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
1
Horvat
Backstrom
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
51.4% (473)
+3.3%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
39.5% (38)
+27.5%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
33.3% (3)
+18.8%
On power play, Horvat has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Horvat shoots left. Backstrom is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Horvat
Backstrom
Home
59.8% (853)
53.6% (278)
Away
53.8% (832)
46.6% (236)
By Period
Horvat
Backstrom
P1
55.0%
51.5%
P2
58.3%
56.0%
P3
57.8%
43.5%
OT
44.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 00:52 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 16:22 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 00:59 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 29, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 2 | 18:31 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 1 | 06:47 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 10:15 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 09:47 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |