Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Backstrom 46.9% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 53.9%
Defensive zone
Horvat 76.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 63.2%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
Horvat
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Horvat
Backstrom
Last 5: Horvat 3-2 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
1
Horvat
Backstrom
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Backstrom
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Backstrom
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
47.0% (541)
+8.6%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
47.4% (95)
+18.0%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
15.4% (13)
+33.8%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +33.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Horvat is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (912).
Horvat shoots left. Backstrom is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Horvat
Backstrom
Home
58.8% (724)
48.5% (328)
Away
55.3% (751)
44.2% (321)
By Period
Horvat
Backstrom
P1
57.0%
44.8%
P2
57.5%
42.9%
P3
57.0%
50.9%
OT
36.4%
57.1%
Final 5 min
56.9%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 1 | 03:07 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 16, 2022 | 3 | 17:40 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 16, 2022 | 1 | 08:53 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |