Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 21 meetings). Horvat wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Roy 48.4% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 25-16 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 92.7%
Defensive zone
Horvat 70.5%
Neutral zone
Horvat 83.5%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 84.7%
84.7%
15.3%
Horvat
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
16
(41 meetings)
25
16
Horvat
Roy
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
15
6
Horvat
Roy
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
4
7
Horvat
Roy
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
3
Horvat
Roy
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,606)
48.7% (3,719)
+5.2%
Power Play
61.0% (2,699)
49.5% (283)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,494)
45.5% (477)
+1.6%
On power play, Horvat has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Horvat is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,086).
Horvat shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Home / Away
Horvat
Roy
Home
56.0% (8,355)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Horvat
Roy
P1
54.1%
50.8%
P2
54.4%
46.3%
P3
55.0%
48.1%
OT
49.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 01:09 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 16:24 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 18:21 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 15:58 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 15:52 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 19:22 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 19:12 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 13:21 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 09:26 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:28 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 17:54 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 19:48 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 08:24 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 18:11 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 19:33 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 01:28 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 3 | 13:09 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 1 | 17:34 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 1 | 07:40 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |