Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 17 meetings). Horvat wins 61.3% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Roy 48.9% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 16-11 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 84.1%
Defensive zone
Horvat 73.9%
Neutral zone
Horvat 75.5%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 80.7%
80.7%
19.3%
Horvat
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
11
(27 meetings)
16
11
Horvat
Roy
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
11
6
Horvat
Roy
17 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Horvat
Roy
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Horvat
Roy
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
49.5% (746)
+6.1%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
50.7% (75)
+14.7%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
42.7% (110)
+6.5%
On power play, Horvat has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Horvat is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (563).
Horvat shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Home / Away
Horvat
Roy
Home
58.8% (724)
47.7% (491)
Away
55.3% (751)
50.0% (440)
By Period
Horvat
Roy
P1
57.0%
51.1%
P2
57.5%
44.6%
P3
57.0%
50.9%
OT
36.4%
42.9%
Final 5 min
56.9%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 19:33 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 01:28 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 3 | 13:09 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 1 | 17:34 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 1 | 07:40 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 1 | 03:44 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 1 | 03:37 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 18:34 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 17:14 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 14:37 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 14:19 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 12:05 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 07:42 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 06:14 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 1 | 12:31 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 14:23 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 14:04 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |