Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Roy 47.2% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 76.8%
Defensive zone
Roy 79.8%
Neutral zone
Roy 55.7%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Horvat
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Horvat
Roy
Last 9: Horvat 4-5 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
5
Horvat
Roy
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
47.5% (617)
+6.0%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
39.6% (53)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
46.4% (97)
+4.9%
On power play, Horvat has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Horvat is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Horvat shoots left. Roy is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Horvat
Roy
Home
54.2% (714)
47.2% (398)
Away
53.6% (705)
46.3% (369)
By Period
Horvat
Roy
P1
53.5%
48.6%
P2
56.3%
48.8%
P3
53.5%
43.9%
OT
28.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 19:22 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 19:12 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 13:21 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 09:26 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:28 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 17:54 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 19:48 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 08:24 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 18:11 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |