Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings). Horvat wins 61.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Bergeron 61.2% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 19-18 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 51.7%
Defensive zone
Horvat 60.6%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 50.5%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Horvat
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
19
(37 meetings)
18
19
Horvat
Bergeron
Last 10: Horvat 4-6 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
8
11
Horvat
Bergeron
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
8
4
Horvat
Bergeron
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
4
Horvat
Bergeron
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
63.8% (1,102)
-8.2%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
65.3% (288)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
47.6% (210)
+1.6%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Horvat is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (563).
Horvat shoots left. Bergeron is 63.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,126).
Home / Away
Horvat
Bergeron
Home
58.8% (724)
62.5% (882)
Away
55.3% (751)
61.3% (718)
By Period
Horvat
Bergeron
P1
57.0%
62.5%
P2
57.5%
62.7%
P3
57.0%
60.6%
OT
36.4%
62.5%
Final 5 min
56.9%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
42.0%▼
53.5%
57.0%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 3 | 19:15 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 3 | 13:06 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 3 | 10:48 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 3 | 07:22 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 3 | 04:42 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 3 | 00:10 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 2 | 17:40 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 2 | 13:28 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 2 | 06:46 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 2 | 02:43 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 2 | 02:33 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 1 | 19:57 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 1 | 18:14 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 1 | 17:51 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 1 | 15:15 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 1 | 14:56 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 1 | 12:30 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 1 | 12:20 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |