Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Horvat wins 62.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Bergeron 60.5% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 17-5 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 81.3%
Defensive zone
Horvat 78.9%
Neutral zone
Horvat 79.3%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 80.0%
80.0%
20.0%
Horvat
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
17
(22 meetings)
5
17
Horvat
Bergeron
Last 10: Horvat 2-8 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
8
Horvat
Bergeron
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
3
6
Horvat
Bergeron
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
3
Horvat
Bergeron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
62.5% (1,109)
-7.8%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
62.2% (352)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
53.5% (245)
-1.4%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Horvat is 62.2% vs right-shot opponents (574).
Horvat shoots left. Bergeron is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,178).
Home / Away
Horvat
Bergeron
Home
59.8% (853)
61.9% (917)
Away
53.8% (832)
60.2% (789)
By Period
Horvat
Bergeron
P1
55.0%
60.8%
P2
58.3%
60.3%
P3
57.8%
63.0%
OT
44.0%
51.5%
Final 5 min
59.4%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 18:31 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 07:46 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 07:42 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 03:38 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 02:14 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 07:28 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 01:40 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 16:37 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 13:41 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 12:02 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 06:30 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 2 | 17:10 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 2 | 14:48 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 2 | 09:20 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 15:35 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 11:10 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 11:05 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 08:23 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |