Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 61.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Carpenter 51.2% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 87.0%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 52.2%
Neutral zone
Horvat 53.8%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Horvat
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Horvat
Carpenter
Last 8: Horvat 5-3 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Carpenter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
1
3
Horvat
Carpenter
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Carpenter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
53.2% (299)
+2.4%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
33.3% (3)
+32.1%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
46.5% (86)
+2.7%
On power play, Horvat has a +32.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Horvat is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (563).
Horvat shoots left. Carpenter is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Horvat
Carpenter
Home
58.8% (724)
54.6% (207)
Away
55.3% (751)
48.1% (181)
By Period
Horvat
Carpenter
P1
57.0%
52.3%
P2
57.5%
51.5%
P3
57.0%
50.8%
Final 5 min
56.9%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2022 | 3 | 04:28 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 2 | 04:54 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 19:25 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 14:30 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 1 | 01:26 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 18:58 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 13:43 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 04:01 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |