Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (72% H2H, 18 meetings). Horvat wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Carpenter 48.5% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 26-12 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 97.9%
Defensive zone
Horvat 85.3%
Neutral zone
Horvat 86.1%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 91.4%
91.4%
8.6%
Horvat
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
12
(38 meetings)
26
12
Horvat
Carpenter
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
13
5
Horvat
Carpenter
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
9
7
Horvat
Carpenter
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
0
Horvat
Carpenter
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,606)
49.6% (2,027)
+4.3%
Power Play
61.0% (2,699)
41.5% (41)
+19.5%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,494)
43.9% (467)
+3.2%
On power play, Horvat has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Horvat is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,086).
Horvat shoots left. Carpenter is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,840).
Home / Away
Horvat
Carpenter
Home
56.0% (8,355)
51.2% (1,290)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
45.5% (1,245)
By Period
Horvat
Carpenter
P1
54.1%
49.6%
P2
54.4%
47.7%
P3
55.0%
48.0%
OT
49.6%
55.6%
Final 5 min
55.2%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2022 | 3 | 04:28 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 2 | 04:54 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 19:25 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 14:30 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 1 | 01:26 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 18:58 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 13:43 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 04:01 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 12, 2020 | 3 | 19:32 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 12, 2020 | 3 | 00:43 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 12, 2020 | 2 | 00:54 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 12, 2020 | 1 | 13:33 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 2 | 18:55 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 2 | 13:50 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 2 | 09:11 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 1 | 17:40 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 1 | 14:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 1 | 10:09 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 1 | 09:46 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |