Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs McLeod 52.1% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 52.6%
Defensive zone
McLeod 85.3%
Neutral zone
McLeod 62.3%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 67.2%
32.8%
67.2%
Horvat
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Horvat
McLeod
Last 8: Horvat 3-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
McLeod
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Horvat
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Horvat
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
52.9% (904)
+5.7%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
57.6% (59)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
49.0% (241)
-3.3%
On even strength, Horvat has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Horvat is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Horvat shoots left. McLeod is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (784).
Home / Away
Horvat
McLeod
Home
59.2% (684)
51.8% (612)
Away
57.0% (635)
52.9% (592)
By Period
Horvat
McLeod
P1
57.9%
55.4%
P2
55.4%
50.8%
P3
61.5%
51.6%
OT
53.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
58.2%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 19:05 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 15:45 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 13:29 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 06:53 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 09:53 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 08:42 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 07:03 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |