Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings). Horvat wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs McLeod 49.6% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 20-12 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 89.4%
Defensive zone
Horvat 70.0%
Neutral zone
Horvat 82.7%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 82.0%
82.0%
18.0%
Horvat
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
12
(32 meetings)
20
12
Horvat
McLeod
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
10
2
Horvat
McLeod
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
3
Horvat
McLeod
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
5
7
Horvat
McLeod
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,606)
50.4% (3,345)
+3.5%
Power Play
61.0% (2,699)
51.0% (292)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,494)
44.3% (635)
+2.8%
On power play, Horvat has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Horvat is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,714).
Horvat shoots left. McLeod is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Horvat
McLeod
Home
56.0% (8,355)
50.2% (2,158)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Horvat
McLeod
P1
54.1%
50.8%
P2
54.4%
48.4%
P3
55.0%
50.0%
OT
49.6%
37.1%
Final 5 min
55.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 17:53 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 15:24 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 13:33 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 12:51 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 14:57 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 15:37 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 11:17 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 08:40 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 06:20 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 19:05 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 15:45 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 13:29 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 06:53 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 09:53 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 08:42 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 07:03 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 05:39 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 12:40 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |