Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 61.3% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Strome 45.0% (+12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 63.1%
Defensive zone
Strome 54.8%
Neutral zone
Strome 60.4%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Horvat
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Horvat
Strome
Last 5: Horvat 2-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Strome
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
2
Horvat
Strome
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Horvat
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
44.1% (749)
+11.5%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
46.2% (52)
+19.2%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
52.9% (17)
-3.7%
On power play, Horvat has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Horvat is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (563).
Horvat shoots left. Strome is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Home / Away
Horvat
Strome
Home
58.8% (724)
45.1% (441)
Away
55.3% (751)
43.5% (377)
By Period
Horvat
Strome
P1
57.0%
42.9%
P2
57.5%
44.4%
P3
57.0%
45.8%
OT
36.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 10:32 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 03:53 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 00:24 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 1 | 03:44 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 1 | 03:37 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |