Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +16.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 61.6% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs Strome 42.3% (+16.5%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 54.8%
Defensive zone
Strome 56.8%
Neutral zone
Strome 61.7%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Horvat
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Horvat
Strome
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
2
Horvat
Strome
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
3
Horvat
Strome
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
41.2% (1,040)
+17.4%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
43.0% (151)
+17.6%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
51.4% (35)
-5.7%
On power play, Horvat has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Horvat is 61.6% vs right-shot opponents (482).
Horvat shoots left. Strome is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (900).
Home / Away
Horvat
Strome
Home
59.2% (684)
40.1% (581)
Away
57.0% (635)
43.1% (645)
By Period
Horvat
Strome
P1
57.9%
41.4%
P2
55.4%
42.9%
P3
61.5%
40.5%
OT
53.8%
45.5%
Final 5 min
60.9%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
58.2%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 04:54 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 01:02 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:49 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:43 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 16:31 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 10:35 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 08:58 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 08:49 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 2 | 10:10 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 09:31 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |