Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 61.1% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.9% vs Gagner 47.0% (+13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 74.9%
Defensive zone
Gagner 59.8%
Neutral zone
Gagner 65.9%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 66.4%
33.6%
66.4%
Horvat
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Horvat
Gagner
Last 6: Horvat 2-4 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Horvat
Gagner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Gagner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
3
Horvat
Gagner
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,134)
47.7% (86)
+8.6%
Power Play
64.3% (263)
25.0% (16)
+39.3%
On power play, Horvat has a +39.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Horvat is 61.1% vs right-shot opponents (537).
Horvat shoots left. Gagner is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (65).
Home / Away
Horvat
Gagner
Home
57.3% (742)
52.1% (48)
Away
57.4% (741)
37.0% (54)
By Period
Horvat
Gagner
P1
59.0%
45.9%
P2
59.7%
52.9%
P3
53.6%
30.0%
OT
55.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
59.3%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.3%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2019 | 3 | 19:20 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 1 | 13:32 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 1 | 11:41 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 1 | 03:31 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 1 | 01:04 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |