Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 61.3% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Gagner 47.5% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 87.0%
Defensive zone
Horvat 51.0%
Neutral zone
Horvat 64.0%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 81.0%
81.0%
19.0%
Horvat
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Horvat
Gagner
Last 6: Horvat 4-2 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
1
Horvat
Gagner
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Horvat
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
51.3% (158)
+4.3%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
66.7% (36)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
33.6% (110)
+15.6%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Horvat is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (563).
Horvat shoots left. Gagner is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (240).
Home / Away
Horvat
Gagner
Home
58.8% (724)
53.2% (154)
Away
55.3% (751)
40.0% (150)
By Period
Horvat
Gagner
P1
57.0%
35.6%
P2
57.5%
52.7%
P3
57.0%
51.9%
OT
36.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
34.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 14:17 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 08:16 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 17:18 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 10:25 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 19:10 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |