Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Gagner 52.4% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 64.9%
Defensive zone
Horvat 71.0%
Neutral zone
Horvat 62.6%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 71.0%
71.0%
29.0%
Horvat
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Horvat
Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
76.5% (17)
-23.0%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
28.6% (7)
+27.7%
On power play, Horvat has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Horvat is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Horvat shoots left. Gagner is 61.1% vs left-shot opponents (18).
Home / Away
Horvat
Gagner
Home
54.2% (714)
75.0% (16)
Away
53.6% (705)
37.5% (8)
By Period
Horvat
Gagner
P1
53.5%
25.0%
P2
56.3%
64.3%
P3
53.5%
83.3%
Final 5 min
52.3%
70.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
62.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 12:29 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |