Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Steel 49.4% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 66.2%
Defensive zone
Steel 67.4%
Neutral zone
Steel 69.7%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 68.3%
31.7%
68.3%
Horvat
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Horvat
Steel
Last 6: Horvat 2-4 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Horvat
Steel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Steel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
1
2
Horvat
Steel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
49.3% (383)
+6.3%
Power Play
65.4% (289)
59.1% (22)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
14.3% (7)
+34.9%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +34.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Horvat is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (912).
Horvat shoots left. Steel is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Horvat
Steel
Home
58.8% (724)
49.4% (180)
Away
55.3% (751)
49.1% (232)
By Period
Horvat
Steel
P1
57.0%
51.9%
P2
57.5%
43.8%
P3
57.0%
52.6%
Final 5 min
56.9%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 11:49 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 1 | 00:57 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 3 | 08:35 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 2 | 18:20 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 2 | 14:56 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 2 | 02:13 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |