Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Steel 48.8% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 73.5%
Defensive zone
Steel 72.3%
Neutral zone
Steel 70.8%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 72.4%
27.6%
72.4%
Horvat
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Horvat
Steel
Last 7: Horvat 2-5 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
2
Horvat
Steel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
1
3
Horvat
Steel
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
49.5% (553)
+5.2%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
61.3% (31)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
30.6% (49)
+21.5%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Horvat shoots left. Steel is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Horvat
Steel
Home
59.8% (853)
46.4% (347)
Away
53.8% (832)
51.4% (286)
By Period
Horvat
Steel
P1
55.0%
52.1%
P2
58.3%
49.8%
P3
57.8%
45.2%
OT
44.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 18:08 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 08:55 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 08:36 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 03:06 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 02:52 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 03:09 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 10:28 | Defensive | Sam Steel |