Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.5% vs Couturier 52.6% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 63.2%
Defensive zone
Couturier 65.4%
Neutral zone
Couturier 56.8%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Horvat
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Horvat
Couturier
Last 5: Horvat 0-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
2
Horvat
Couturier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
3
Horvat
Couturier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (994)
53.5% (770)
-0.4%
Power Play
57.1% (212)
59.4% (69)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
53.4% (118)
46.9% (162)
+6.5%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (861).
Horvat shoots left. Couturier is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (607).
Home / Away
Horvat
Couturier
Home
53.0% (673)
53.8% (452)
Away
54.5% (651)
52.1% (549)
By Period
Horvat
Couturier
P1
51.9%
53.4%
P2
54.8%
52.8%
P3
54.3%
52.4%
OT
58.3%
52.9%
Final 5 min
50.9%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.8%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2017 | 2 | 19:24 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 21, 2017 | 2 | 06:26 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 21, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 21, 2017 | 1 | 12:44 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 21, 2017 | 1 | 07:18 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |