Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Couturier 53.2% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 80.3%
Defensive zone
Couturier 67.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 60.7%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Horvat
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
8
(20 meetings)
12
8
Horvat
Couturier
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
1
Horvat
Couturier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
3
4
Horvat
Couturier
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
3
Horvat
Couturier
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (682)
53.4% (758)
+1.9%
Power Play
62.2% (230)
62.9% (70)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (101)
50.7% (227)
-4.2%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Horvat shoots left. Couturier is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (680).
Home / Away
Horvat
Couturier
Home
58.2% (469)
50.7% (517)
Away
54.0% (544)
56.1% (538)
By Period
Horvat
Couturier
P1
59.6%
55.2%
P2
53.1%
53.0%
P3
55.5%
53.3%
OT
55.0%
42.4%
Final 5 min
59.6%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.0%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 03:23 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 03:15 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 11:09 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 05:41 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 28, 2025 | OT | 04:58 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 13:20 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 19:39 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 13:35 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:10 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2025 | OT | 01:33 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 10:53 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 19:35 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 10:36 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 10:29 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:20 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |