Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 53.5%). Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.7% vs Couturier 53.2% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 58.9%
Defensive zone
Couturier 51.4%
Neutral zone
Couturier 52.3%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Horvat
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Horvat
Couturier
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Horvat
Couturier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Horvat
Couturier
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
3
Horvat
Couturier
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (1,071)
53.8% (1,003)
-0.3%
Power Play
56.3% (272)
56.4% (202)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (76)
42.7% (89)
+8.6%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Horvat is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Horvat shoots left. Couturier is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Home / Away
Horvat
Couturier
Home
54.2% (714)
54.4% (680)
Away
53.6% (705)
52.4% (614)
By Period
Horvat
Couturier
P1
53.5%
56.3%
P2
56.3%
51.8%
P3
53.5%
52.2%
OT
28.6%
60.9%
Final 5 min
52.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 12:03 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 06:48 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 14:24 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 00:53 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 14:39 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 18:56 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 18:41 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 04:03 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 16:54 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 13:10 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 16:54 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 08:52 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 05:21 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 00:16 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |