Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.5% vs Couturier 56.6% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 54.2%
Defensive zone
Couturier 65.3%
Neutral zone
Couturier 74.2%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Horvat
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Horvat
Couturier
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
3
Horvat
Couturier
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
2
Horvat
Couturier
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Couturier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (1,606)
55.6% (1,008)
-1.6%
Power Play
52.9% (308)
71.7% (138)
-18.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (104)
54.2% (177)
-4.2%
On power play, Couturier has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Horvat is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,295).
Horvat shoots left. Couturier is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Horvat
Couturier
Home
57.2% (987)
59.8% (696)
Away
50.2% (1,031)
54.1% (627)
By Period
Horvat
Couturier
P1
53.9%
54.3%
P2
53.7%
59.8%
P3
53.6%
56.6%
OT
50.0%
64.3%
Final 5 min
54.8%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.7%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2019 | 3 | 18:44 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 3 | 11:50 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 2 | 01:29 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 1 | 01:10 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 13:15 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 04:51 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 01:40 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 2 | 11:01 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 2 | 10:53 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 1 | 16:29 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 1 | 10:13 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 1 | 08:14 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 1 | 00:51 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |