Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.9% vs Couturier 58.7% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 61.7%
Defensive zone
Couturier 61.7%
Neutral zone
Couturier 61.7%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 61.7%
38.3%
61.7%
Horvat
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Horvat
Couturier
Last 8: Horvat 5-3 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
1
Horvat
Couturier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Horvat
Couturier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,134)
60.1% (669)
-3.8%
Power Play
64.3% (263)
60.9% (133)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (85)
55.1% (107)
-5.7%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Horvat shoots left. Couturier is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Home / Away
Horvat
Couturier
Home
57.3% (742)
59.9% (484)
Away
57.4% (741)
59.3% (425)
By Period
Horvat
Couturier
P1
59.0%
61.8%
P2
59.7%
57.4%
P3
53.6%
59.5%
OT
55.6%
68.8%
Final 5 min
59.3%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.3%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
59.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2019 | 3 | 19:42 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 3 | 17:10 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 3 | 11:41 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 3 | 11:36 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 2 | 13:58 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 1 | 13:14 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 12, 2019 | OT | 03:09 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 14:05 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |